Professional decisions under uncertainty

Decision Canvas

Decision Canvas combines Monte Carlo simulation, sensitivity analysis, and AI-powered insights in a single visual workspace. Build probabilistic models, quantify risk, and find optimal strategies — without spreadsheets.

Spreadsheets aren't built for uncertainty

Single-point estimates hide risk

Most business models use a single number for each assumption. Reality doesn't work that way. Revenue, costs, and market conditions are ranges, not points.

Sensitivity analyses incomplete

Which variable matters most? Spreadsheet users guess. Decision Canvas calculates it automatically across every input simultaneously.

Optimization is trial and error

Finding the best combination of decisions across constraints shouldn't require hundreds of manual scenarios.

Build --> Simulate --> Analyze --> Decide

Visual Model Builder

Build decision models visually. Connect inputs, calculations, and outputs with an intuitive drag-and-drop canvas. Define probability distributions for uncertain variables — triangular, normal, uniform, beta, and more.

Monte Carlo Simulation

Run thousands of simulations in seconds. See the full probability distribution of outcomes, not just a single estimate. Understand your P10, P50, and P90 - the range of what's actually likely.

Sensitivity Analysis

Instantly identify which inputs drive the most variance in your outcome. The tornado chart ranks every variable by impact, showing you exactly where to focus your attention and resources.

AI-Powered Insights

Ask the AI Consultant to interpret your results, suggest strategies, and explain tradeoffs in plain language. Build models from natural language descriptions with the AI Model Builder.

Optimization

Find the optimal combination of decision variables that maximizes your objective while respecting constraints. Single-objective and multi-objective (NSGA-II) optimization built in.

Time-Series Analysis

Model decisions that evolve over time. Define how distributions change period by period, visualize the uncertainty envelope, and run simulations across your entire planning horizon.

Uncertainty --> Clarity

  • Build: Create your decision model by adding inputs, formulas, and outputs. Assign probability distributions to uncertain variables.

  • Simulate: Run Monte Carlo simulation to see the full range of possible outcomes. Thousands of scenarios computed in seconds.

  • Analyze: Use tornado charts, Sobol analysis, correlation matrices, and goal-seeking to understand what drives your results.

  • Decide: AI Consultant synthesizes your analysis into actionable recommendations. Optimize decisions across objectives and constraints.

Built for critical decisions

  • Capital Investment — "Should we invest $5M in a new production line? Model the revenue uncertainty, cost variability, and competitive scenarios to find your risk-adjusted NPV."

  • Pricing Strategy — "What's the optimal price point given uncertain demand elasticity, competitor response, and cost fluctuations?"

  • Supply Chain Risk — "Quantify the impact of supplier disruptions, logistics delays, and demand variability on my bottom line. Identify which risks to mitigate first."

Free Trial

  • $0/month

  • Visual Model Building

  • Monte Carlo Simulation

  • Sensitivity Analysis

Professional

  • $99/month

  • Everything in Free Trial

  • Global Sensitivity (Sobol)

  • Single & Multi-Objective Optimization

  • Goal Seek / Backcasting

  • Correlation Analysis

  • Value of Information

  • AI Consultant & recommendations

  • AI Model Builder

  • AI Model Chat

  • Export to PowerPoint & PDF

  • Unlimited Saved Models

  • 50 AI Calls Per Day

Serious analysis, modern interface

Monte Carlo Simulation · Tornado Analysis · Sobol Global Sensitivity · NSGA-II Multi-Objective Optimization · Goal Seek / Backcasting · Correlation Matrices · Value of Information · Scenario Comparison · What-If Dashboard · Time-Series Modeling · 12+ Distribution Types · AI-Powered Insights

Make your next decision with confidence

Start building probabilistic models in minutes. No credit card required.